Jordan's Credit Rating Leap: A 21-Year Milestone

In a significant economic advancement for Jordan, the international credit rating agency Moody's has upgraded the country's credit rating for the first time in 21 years—a move signaling fiscal resilience and the effectiveness of economic reforms amidst regional challenges.

Published May 13, 2024 - 00:05am

6 minutes read
Jordan
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For the first time in over two decades, Jordan's economic resilience has been internationally recognized with an upgrade in its sovereign credit rating by Moody's Investors Service. The rating adjustment from B1 to Ba3, which signifies a medium-grade creditworthiness with a stable outlook, reflects Jordan's successful macroeconomic management and fiscal prudence.

Moody's has cited Jordan's monetary stability and effective risk mitigation measures as key drivers behind the improved rating. The announcement is not merely an indication of current stability but sets expectations for sustained fiscal consolidation with public debt set on a downward trajectory from roughly 90% of GDP in 2023 to 80% by 2028.

Jordan's Minister of Finance, Mohammad Al-Ississ, considers the upgrade tangible evidence of the economy's stability and the sagacity of Jordan's financial and monetary policies. These policies have shielded the middle class and national economy against global and regional economic tremors, including the ramifications of the COVID-19 pandemic, fluctuating energy prices, inflation and the repercussions of international conflicts, such as the Ukraine-Russia war.

Moreover, the Central Bank of Jordan's (CBJ) Governor, Dr. Adel Sharkas, highlights that the favorable rating comes amid regional turbulence and underscores the robustness of Jordan's economic foundations. The CBJ has maintained monetary and financial stability, integral for economic well-being, supported by a record high in foreign currency reserves amounting to USD 19 billion and backed by a robust banking sector.

Despite this optimistic development, challenges remain, such as the substantial fiscal burden, risks of revenue downturns, and the costs associated with interest on domestic and foreign debt. Furthermore, the country continues to bear the weight of the Syrian refugee crisis and the economic impacts of ongoing Israeli hostilities in Palestinian territories. Regardless, these improved ratings offer an opportunity to foster investment and consumption, but the real test lies in the translation of these indicators into actionable measures that can crystallize optimism on the ground and positively affect the daily lives of Jordanian citizens.

The elevation of Jordan's credit rating by Moody's Investors Service has far-reaching implications beyond the world of finance. This international affirmation of Jordan's economic fortitude is not only a testament to its robust policies and structures but also an enabler for its future development plans. Historically, improved credit ratings have been associated with increased investor confidence which can lead to enhanced foreign direct investment (FDI).

FDI inflow is crucial for Jordan as it seeks to bolster its economy by diversifying into sectors such as renewable energy, tourism, and information technology. These are arenas that have the potential to create jobs, generate revenue, and contribute to a balance of payments stability over the long term. With its strategic location at the crossroads of the Middle East, Jordan has the potential to become a regional hub for multinational corporations.

Jordan's economic plans, aimed at promoting these sectors, are predicated on a mix of public-private partnerships (PPPs) and direct investments. Acknowledging this, the government has been working on streamlining investment laws and establishing free zones and special economic zones, which offer competitive advantages such as tax incentives and reduced bureaucratic hurdles. Jordan's proactive approach illustrates an understanding that credit rating improvements must be leveraged promptly and effectively to translate macroeconomic stability into tangible projects and ventures.

This positive sentiment is echoed by international entities and neighboring states alike. The World Bank, IMF, and regional economic forums have been monitoring Jordan's progress closely. The enhanced credit rating could further pave the way for concessionary lending and grants that can support crucial infrastructure and social development projects, which in turn could catalyze growth across multiple sectors of the economy. Such external financing under favorable terms is critical for Jordan, given its relatively small domestic market and limited natural resources.

The government's economic strategy also envisions a reform of the national education system to close the skills gap in the labor market. This approach is aimed at equipping the younger generation with the tools required for the jobs of tomorrow, especially in knowledge-based economies. In doing so, Jordan's investment in human capital is expected to pay dividends in terms of increased productivity and innovation, a factor that is often positively correlated with a country's creditworthiness.

Another significant aspect of Jordan's resilience is its robust management of public services, key among them being the water supply and healthcare systems, which also have vast impacts on social stability and security. The country's ability to guarantee these vital services even in turbulent times has played a part in establishing trust among citizens and international observers. It's a delicate balance to maintain, but one that is critical for sustainable growth and maintaining investor confidence.

Moreover, there is a conscious push towards enhancing trade relations and market access through diplomacy and trade agreements. Jordan's active pursuit of such agreements with various countries is aimed at expanding its export base, thereby improving its current account balance and supporting its currency pegged to the US dollar. These efforts are expected to further mitigate external vulnerability and provide a more favorable environment for businesses and investors alike.

Despite these positive prospects, Jordanian officials are acutely aware of the need for vigilant fiscal oversight and cautious economic management. The rating upgrade does not signify an end to economic challenges but instead offers a platform upon which to build a more resilient and diversified economy, one that can better withstand external shocks and provide for its population. The Jordanian government's commitment to reforms, coupled with the support of international partners, will be essential in ensuring that the positive trends indicated by Moody's are sustained and built upon in the years to come.

In conclusion, while the road ahead for Jordan is paved with challenges, the Moody's credit rating upgrade is a milestone that reaffirms the country's strategic direction. By continuing to focus on macroeconomic stability, engage in strategic policy-making, and harness the potential of FDI, Jordan is poised to affirm its role as a stabilizing force in the region and exemplify the potential for sustainable development in a turbulent area.

Sources

  • Jordan

    Author: rumonline.net

    Creation Date: May 12, 2024 - 09:05am

    URL: https://www.rumonline.net/article/702261

    Date of Retrieval: May 13, 2024 - 00:05am

  • Author: alquds.com

    Creation Date: May 12, 2024 - 08:05am

    URL: https://alquds.com/ar/posts/120176

    Date of Retrieval: May 13, 2024 - 00:05am

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