Syria's New Economic Recovery Path

Explore how Syria is revolutionizing its central bank policies amid past challenges. Delve into upcoming reforms, the influence of Islamic banking, and the struggle with inflation.

Published January 15, 2025 - 00:01am

3 minutes read
Syrian Arab Republic
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Syria is witnessing a significant transformation within its economic structures as the new central bank governor, Maysaa Sabreen, champions a shift towards greater independence in monetary policy decision-making. This move marks a definitive departure from the rigid controls associated with the Assad regime. Sabreen, who has a 20-year tenure at the central bank, ascended to her position following the rapid political changes that led to President Bashar Assad's downfall.

The crux of this reform agenda lies in granting the central bank greater authority to navigate monetary policy, which is seen as vital for engendering long-term macroeconomic stability. Historically, the bank operated under the facade of independence, yet its directives were largely dictated by governmental mandates. Now, under Sabreen's stewardship, plans are underway to draft amendments that would solidify the bank's autonomy. These initiatives await the endorsement of Syria's nascent governing bodies.

A concerted effort is also being made to expand the scope and reach of Islamic banking, a sector that aligns with Sharia law and eschews the practice of charging interest or engaging in investments deemed unethical. This branch of banking has been notable in attracting Syrians who have previously avoided traditional financial services, and the new measures may allow traditional banks to offer Islamic banking options.

Another focal point of Sabreen's strategy is mitigating inflationary pressures, which have plagued the Syrian economy. Under the Assad administration, the printing of new currency became a method to finance governmental deficits, exacerbating inflation. Today, the Syrian pound has depreciated alarmingly from 50 pounds per U.S. dollar in 2011 to a staggering 13,000 pounds. Addressing this, the central bank is conducting a comprehensive balance sheet review to ascertain Syria's foreign exchange and gold reserves, reported to include nearly 26 tons of gold valued at approximately $2.2 billion.

Despite the central bank's optimistic outlook, challenges remain. The institution and various other former governors are subject to sanctions by the U.S., a legacy of Assad's oppressive measures during the civil unrest that erupted in 2011. These sanctions, however, have seen some easing, with recent waivers allowing for humanitarian aid and transactions necessary for Syria's recovery. This slight relief comes amidst hopes for an eventual reintegration of Syrian banks into the global financial order.

In an encouraging move, Qatar has pledged to assist in the financial upliftment of Syria's public sector workers by supporting a 400% salary increment. This initiative is sustained by American sanctions exemptions, effective from January 6, which facilitate financial transactions with Syrian state entities.

An ambitious agenda is also being deployed to restructure state-owned banking institutions and introduce regulatory measures for foreign exchange and remittance operations. These steps aim to stabilize the financial sector and adapt to the prevalent use of informal money exchanges, which have become crucial sources of hard currency for Syria.

The adoption of monetary reforms under Sabreen's leadership presents a fascinating tug-of-war between economic revival and existing geopolitical tensions. The anticipated lifting of sanctions could open doors for Syria's re-engagement with international commerce, paving the way for enhanced economic prosperity and a more prosperous financial landscape within the nation.

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