Global Nuclear Reliance: Modernization and Expenditure
Nations are spending more on nuclear weapons amid increasing geopolitical tensions. Discover the rising trend in global nuclear arsenals and its implications.
Published June 18, 2024 - 00:06am

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Earlier this month, Russia and its ally Belarus launched a second stage of drills intended to train their troops in tactical nuclear weapons, part of the Kremlin's efforts to discourage the West from ramping up support for Ukraine.
In a separate report, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, ICAN, said the nine nuclear-armed states spent a combined total of $91.4 billion on their arsenals in 2023—equivalent to $2,898 per second. The Geneva-based coalition of disarmament activists, which won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2017, indicated that this reflects a $10.7 billion increase in global spending compared to 2022.
The United States accounted for 80% of the spending increase, with a total expenditure of $51.5 billion, surpassing the combined spending of all other nuclear-armed countries. China was the second-largest spender at $11.8 billion, followed by Russia with $8.3 billion. This escalation points to an alarming global trend toward greater reliance on nuclear arsenals.
According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), some 2,100 of the deployed warheads were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles, predominantly belonging to Russia and the USA. SIPRI's director, Dan Smith, stated that year-on-year increases in the number of operational nuclear warheads are extremely concerning. China is also believed to have some warheads on high operational alert for the first time.
Of the total global inventory of approximately 12,121 warheads as of January 2024, about 9,585 were in military stockpiles and 3,904 were deployed with missiles and aircraft, indicating an increase of 60 from January 2023. SIPRI's data shows that transparency regarding nuclear forces has declined in both Russia and the USA following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
North Korea's military nuclear program is also notable for its continued development. The nation may have assembled up to 50 nuclear weapons, a significant increase compared to previous estimates. North Korea has tested nuclear devices six times since 2006 and claims its missiles can strike anywhere in the world. Concurrently, SIPRI has noted that the number of nuclear warheads globally stood at 12,121 in January, a slight decrease from 12,512 the year before.
ICAN's findings also revealed a trend towards increased defense budgets in the wake of broader geopolitical uncertainties, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war. Susy Snyder from ICAN warned that nuclear states are on course to spend $100 billion annually on nuclear weapons, a figure that several experts argue could be redirected towards pressing global issues like climate change and healthcare.
The international community remains divided on the issue of nuclear disarmament versus maintaining a strategic balance through deterrence. As geopolitical tensions rise, nations are increasingly investing in their nuclear capabilities, creating a precarious global security environment that threatens stability and peace.
Earlier this month, Russia and its ally Belarus launched a second stage of drills intended to train their troops in tactical nuclear weapons, part of the Kremlin's efforts to discourage the West from ramping up support for Ukraine.
In a separate report, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, ICAN, said the nine nuclear-armed states spent a combined total of $91.4 billion on their arsenals in 2023—equivalent to $2,898 per second. The Geneva-based coalition of disarmament activists, which won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2017, indicated that this reflects a $10.7 billion increase in global spending compared to 2022.
The United States accounted for 80% of the spending increase, with a total expenditure of $51.5 billion, surpassing the combined spending of all other nuclear-armed countries. China was the second-largest spender at $11.8 billion, followed by Russia with $8.3 billion. This escalation points to an alarming global trend toward greater reliance on nuclear arsenals.
According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), some 2,100 of the deployed warheads were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles, predominantly belonging to Russia and the USA. SIPRI's director, Dan Smith, stated that year-on-year increases in the number of operational nuclear warheads are extremely concerning. China is also believed to have some warheads on high operational alert for the first time.
Of the total global inventory of approximately 12,121 warheads as of January 2024, about 9,585 were in military stockpiles and 3,904 were deployed with missiles and aircraft, indicating an increase of 60 from January 2023. SIPRI's data shows that transparency regarding nuclear forces has declined in both Russia and the USA following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
North Korea's military nuclear program is also notable for its continued development. The nation may have assembled up to 50 nuclear weapons, a significant increase compared to previous estimates. North Korea has tested nuclear devices six times since 2006 and claims its missiles can strike anywhere in the world. Concurrently, SIPRI has noted that the number of nuclear warheads globally stood at 12,121 in January, a slight decrease from 12,512 the year before.
ICAN's findings also revealed a trend towards increased defense budgets in the wake of broader geopolitical uncertainties, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war. Susy Snyder from ICAN warned that nuclear states are on course to spend $100 billion annually on nuclear weapons, a figure that several experts argue could be redirected towards pressing global issues like climate change and healthcare.
The international community remains divided on the issue of nuclear disarmament versus maintaining a strategic balance through deterrence. As geopolitical tensions rise, nations are increasingly investing in their nuclear capabilities, creating a precarious global security environment that threatens stability and peace.
Amidst these developments, the role of international treaties and organizations in mitigating nuclear threats becomes even more critical. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which aims to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and promote disarmament, is facing significant challenges as some signatories move to modernize their arsenals. The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) remains a cornerstone of non-proliferation efforts, yet it is still not in force as it awaits ratification by key states.
Additionally, diplomatic tensions are mounting as countries like North Korea and Iran continue their nuclear programs, raising alarms within the international community. While diplomatic talks have been initiated to curb these programs, the results have been largely inconclusive, leading to increased sanctions and economic pressures.
NATO, in response to growing nuclear threats, has emphasized the need for collective defense and has undertaken measures to strengthen its deterrence capabilities. This includes deploying advanced missile defense systems and conducting joint military exercises that underscore the alliance's readiness to respond to potential nuclear threats.
The influence of non-state actors and cyber threats related to nuclear command and control systems are also emerging concerns. Experts warn that the potential for cyber-attacks on nuclear facilities or command structures could lead to unauthorized launches or catastrophic accidents. As technology advances, protecting nuclear systems from such vulnerabilities is becoming increasingly complex and vital.
Efforts to promote nuclear disarmament continue through various international campaigns and advocacy groups. Civil society organizations are calling for renewed momentum towards nuclear-free zones and the implementation of global bans on nuclear weapons, arguing that these measures are essential for ensuring long-term global security.
The intersection of nuclear policies with climate change initiatives has also gained attention. Some experts propose that the substantial funds allocated to nuclear arsenals could be more effectively utilized in addressing climate change, which poses an existential threat to humanity. Redirecting these resources towards sustainable energy projects and climate mitigation efforts could yield significant global benefits.
In conclusion, the current global landscape regarding nuclear weapons is marked by increasing expenditures, modernizations, and rising geopolitical tensions. The balance between deterrence and disarmament continues to be a contentious issue, with significant implications for both regional and global security. As nations navigate this complex environment, the importance of diplomatic efforts, international cooperation, and robust treaties in preventing nuclear escalation and promoting peace cannot be overstated.